| Gas Day | Activity | Tolerance | Stage/Noncompliance Charge | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2009 | No OFO in Effect | |||
| 11/06/2009 | No OFO in Effect | |||
| 11/07/2009 | System Wide OFO in Effect | 13% | Stage 2 at $1.00/Dth | High Inventory |
| 11/08/2009 | System Wide OFO in Effect | 11% | Stage 3 at $5.00/Dth | High Inventory |
When an OFO or EFO has been called, customers' supplies are required to be within the tolerance requirement of daily usage to avoid noncompliance penalties. The criteria for complying with an OFO or EFO are described here.
For additional information, please contact the PG&E Scheduling Hotline at (415) 973-2424.
While updates to the OFO Outlook are posted here, customers should use INSIDEtracc as their primary source for OFO notification and updated information. For specific end-use customer information, please see INSIDEtracc.
Plan 3, posted 02:37 PM PT
Last updated for the Gas Day of 11/07/2009
Next update expected by 11:30 PM PT
(The Gas Day runs from 7:00 AM to 7:00 AM)
| Ending Inventory History | Ending Inventory Forecasts | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MMcf | 11/4/2009 | 11/5/2009 | 11/6/2009 | 11/7/2009 | 11/8/2009 | 11/9/2009 | 11/10/2009 |
| 4800 | |||||||
| 4700 | |||||||
| 4600 | 4679 | ||||||
| 4500 | 4506 | ||||||
| 4400 | 4453 | 4419 | |||||
| 4300 | 4391 | ||||||
| 4200 | |||||||
| 4100 | 4128 | ||||||
| 4000 | 4044 | ||||||
| 3900 | |||||||
| 3800 | |||||||
| 3700 | |||||||
| 3600 | |||||||
| Within Operating Limits | |
| Outside Operating Limits |
When the forecast pipeline ending inventory exceeds the upper pipeline inventory operating limit or falls below the lower pipeline inventory operating limit, an OFO may be called to maintain the integrity and reliability of the gas transportation system.
Note: Historical data for yesterday is not available until mid-morning today.
| Forecast for 11/7/2009 |
Forecast for 11/8/2009 |
Forecast for 11/9/2009 |
Forecast for 11/10/2009 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beginning Inventory | 4450 | 4419 | 4391 | 4506 |
| Ending Inventory | 4419 | 4391 | 4506 | 4679 |
| Inventory Change | -31 | -28 | 115 | 173 |
| Upper Limit | 4500 | 4500 | 4500 | 4500 |
| Difference* (Upper Limit - Ending Inventory) |
81 | 109 | -6 | -179 |
| Lower Limit | 3900 | 3900 | 3900 | 3900 |
| Difference* (Ending Inventory - Lower Limit) |
519 | 491 | 606 | 779 |
*Forecast differences of less than 0 for the day after the current gas day
(day 1) indicate that that PG&E may call an OFO to maintain pipeline integrity.
Caution: This is PG&E's forecast of system inventory. Because market behavior and forecast
loads can vary widely, this forecast may change significantly within the gas day and should therefore
be used with caution. Forecasts further into the future are more likely to change than days closer
to the current gas day e.g., the forecast for gas day 3 is subject to more change than the forecast
for day 1.
All numbers are expressed in MMcf.
When an OFO has been called for the day after the current gas day (day 1), plans after the first plan of the gas day (posted by 8:30 AM) will often reflect changed market behavior and will show inventory projections within the established limits.
Plan 3, posted 02:37 PM PT
Last updated for the Gas Day of 11/07/2009
Next update expected by 11:30 PM PT
(The Gas Day runs from 7:00 AM to 7:00 AM)
| Forecast for 11/7/2009 |
Forecast for 11/8/2009 |
Forecast for 11/9/2009 |
Forecast for 11/10/2009 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMPOSITE TEMPERATURE Historical Average for current day: 56.1 |
54.4 | 53.5 | 54.1 | 54.9 |
| Demand | ||||
| On-System Demand | 1840 | 1900 | 2165 | 2215 |
| Off-System Deliveries | ||||
| SoCal Gas (KRS) | 28 | 37 | 37 | 37 |
| Southwest Gas | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Kern River GT - HDL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Transmission Shrinkage | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 |
| Injection | ||||
| PG&E Storage (160 Maximum)* Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing |
147 | 63 | 62 | 4 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 144 | 139 | 50 | 0 |
| Lodi Storage | 242 | 229 | 75 | 75 |
| TOTAL SYSTEM DEMAND | 2434 | 2400 | 2423 | 2365 |
| Supply | ||||
| Interconnect Supply | ||||
| Gas Transmission Northwest | 1338 | 1308 | 1474 | 1474 |
| California Production | 130 | 130 | 130 | 130 |
| SoCal Gas (KRS) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kern River GT - HDL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kern River GT - Daggett | 41 | 40 | 40 | 40 |
| Southern Trails | 53 | 57 | 57 | 57 |
| El Paso Natural Gas | 552 | 544 | 544 | 544 |
| Transwestern | 287 | 294 | 294 | 294 |
| Withdrawal | ||||
| PG&E Storage (956 Maximum)* Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lodi Storage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOTAL SYSTEM SUPPLY | 2400 | 2373 | 2538 | 2538 |
| INVENTORY CHANGE (Supply - Demand) |
-31 | -28 | 115 | 173 |
| TOTAL CUSTOMER IMBALANCE | 29 | -39 | 105 | 164 |
*Maxima for injection and withdrawal apply to current day only.
Note: All numbers are expressed in MMcf/d. Differences may exist between these figures and those
shown in PG&E's INSIDEtracc. This data is PG&E's best estimate using
operational data.
| Forecast for 11/7/2009 |
Forecast for 11/8/2009 |
Forecast for 11/9/2009 |
Forecast for 11/10/2009 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Injection | ||||
| PG&E Storage Core and Market Center |
72 | 63 | 62 | 4 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 224 | 218 | 50 | 0 |
| Lodi Storage | 361 | 349 | 75 | 75 |
| Pipeline Balancing Injection | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Withdrawal | ||||
| PG&E Storage Core and Market Center |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| Lodi Storage | 119 | 119 | 0 | 0 |
| Pipeline Balancing Withdrawal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Actual for 11/4/2009 |
Actual for 11/5/2009 |
Actual for 11/6/2009* |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| COMPOSITE TEMPERATURE Historical Average for current day: 56.1 |
58.2 | 58.5 | 57.4 |
| System Demand | |||
| On-System Demand | 2127 | 2067 | 1976 |
| Off-System Deliveries | |||
| SoCal Gas (KRS) | 124 | 172 | 38 |
| Southwest Gas | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Kern River GT - HDL | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Transmission Shrinkage | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| Injection | |||
| PG&E Storage Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing |
70 | 76 | 75 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Lodi Storage | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOTAL SYSTEM DEMAND | 2444 | 2346 | 2124 |
| Supply | |||
| Interconnect Supply | |||
| Gas Transmission Northwest | 1160 | 1137 | 1298 |
| California Production | 130 | 130 | 129 |
| SoCal Gas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kern River GT - HDL | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kern River GT - Daggett | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| Southern Trails | 53 | 57 | 49 |
| El Paso Natural Gas | 603 | 579 | 580 |
| Transwestern | 373 | 389 | 284 |
| Withdrawal | |||
| PG&E Storage Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing |
0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lodi Storage | 119 | 133 | 91 |
| TOTAL SYSTEM SUPPLY | 2443 | 2430 | 2449 |
| INVENTORY CHANGE (Supply - Demand) |
-1 | 84 | 325 |
| TOTAL CUSTOMER IMBALANCE | 32 | 167 | 372 |
*Until yesterday's final figures are released, all numbers in this column
will appear as 0.
Note: All numbers are expressed in MMcf/d. Differences may exist between these figures and
those shown in PG&E's INSIDEtracc. This data is PG&E's best estimate using
operational data.
| Actual for 11/4/2009 |
Actual for 11/5/2009 |
Actual for 11/6/2009* |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Injection | |||
| PG&E Storage Core and Market Center |
3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 198 | 117 | 119 |
| Lodi Storage | 149 | 131 | 141 |
| Pipeline Balancing Injection | 68 | 76 | 75 |
| Withdrawal | |||
| PG&E Storage Core and Market Center |
0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wild Goose Storage | 108 | 122 | 110 |
| Lodi Storage | 268 | 267 | 232 |
| Pipeline Balancing Withdrawal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balancing Gas | |||
| Imbalance Gas in Storage** | 3623 | 3765 | 4110 |
*Until yesterday's final figures are released, all numbers in this column
will appear as 0.
** Suspension of pipeline balancing injection or withdrawal may occur if
Imbalance Gas in Storage exceeds balancing inventory limits. If Imbalance
Gas in Storage is greater than 4.040 Bcf, pipeline balancing injection may
not be available. If Imbalance Gas in Storage is at or below 0.0 Bcf, balancing
withdrawal will not be available.
The daily change of Imbalance Gas in Storage may not equal the daily Pipeline Balancing. This is
because Pipeline Balancing is the entire system balancing required for the day and Imbalance Gas
in Storage is only the Cumulative Imbalance portion of the entire system imbalance gas in storage.
PG&E may include the entire system imbalance gas as the Imbalance Gas in Storage sometime in
the future.